In a world more and more affected by natural and/or industrial disasters, it is essential to understand, analyze and control human behavior during such events.
The work presented in this article published in the international online journal Sustainability, is one of the results of a transdisciplinary collaboration between geographers – including Edwige Dubos-Paillard, professor at the Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and member of the Géographie-cités laboratory – psychologists, mathematicians, computer scientists, operational staff and risk management players and et Sébastien Haule, engineer at Géographie-cités laboratory.
This collaboration made it possible to identify the diverse behavioral reactions that can occur during a disaster and to propose a categorization of these behavioral states and their transitions. These behavioral dynamics are described by the APC (Alert-Panic-Control) mathematical model, which integrates two key elements (among others) during disasters: cognition and social contagion. Several scenarios are developed, and a qualitative analysis of the model is conducted to better understand the role of crowd density and risk culture on behavioral dynamics.
The classification of the different behaviors during a catastrophic event organized according to the emotional charge and its regulation.
Fig. 3, Sustainability 2023, 15, 11063, p. 6
Valentina Lanza, Damienne Provitolo, Nathalie Verdière, Cyrille Bertelle, Edwige Dubos-Paillard, et al.. Modeling and Analysis of the Impact of Risk Culture on Human Behavior during a Catastrophic Event. Sustainability, 2023, 15 (14), pp.11063. ⟨10.3390/su151411063⟩. ⟨halshs-04166620⟩
From the same authors:
Nathalie Verdière, Edwige Dubos-Paillard, Valentina Lanza, Damienne Provitolo, Rodolphe Charrier, Sébastien Haule et al.. Study of the Effect of Rescuers and the Use of a Massive Alarm in a Population in a Disaster Situation. Sustainability, 2023, 15 (12), pp.9474. ⟨10.3390/su15129474⟩. ⟨halshs-04168282⟩
Com2SiCa research program
Understanding and Simulation of Human Behaviors in areas affected by disasters: from analysis to policy making
The Com2SiCa research program aims to improve understanding and the ability to anticipate individual and collective human be-havior in face of complex threats and disasters of all origins, breaking down traditional disciplinary approaches. The program is sponsored by the Agence nationale de la recherche (ANR), Direction générale de l’armement (DGA), Secrétariat général de la défense et de la sécurité nationale (SGDSN).
